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US Presidential 2028 polls: The 2028 US presidential election may still be years away, but early polling suggests voters are already challenging long-held assumptions about who could lead the next race for the White House.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez vs JD Vance: A Close 2028 Matchup

A recent poll by The Argument/Verasight shows Democratic Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez holding a narrow edge over Republican Vice President JD Vance in a hypothetical 2028 presidential matchup, as per a report. The survey found Ocasio-Cortez leading Vance 51% to 49%, as per a SILive.com report.
The difference falls within the poll’s 2.7% margin of error, meaning the two candidates are statistically tied. While, the result is striking given that Vance is widely viewed as the frontrunner for the Republican nomination, while Ocasio-Cortez represents the progressive wing of the Democratic Party.
The survey was conducted between December 5 and December 11 and included responses from 1,521 registered voters, offering an early glimpse into how fluid and unpredictable the 2028 presidential race may become.

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What the 2028 Poll Asked Voters

The poll asked registered voters who they would support if Vance and Ocasio-Cortez were the major-party nominees. The close result suggests the 2028 open-seat race could be highly competitive and that neither party currently holds a clear advantage, as per the SILive.com report.

Voter Divide Emerges Across Demographic Groups

The findings also highlight sharp divides among voting groups. Vance performed better among white voters, with 57% saying they would support him compared with 43% for Ocasio-Cortez. By contrast, Ocasio-Cortez showed strong support among Black voters, with 79% backing her, and Hispanic voters, where she led with 64%.
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JD Vance Seen as GOP Front-Runner for 2028

Vance is considered the favorite for the 2028 GOP nomination, with US president Donald Trump previously saying that Vance and Secretary of State Marco Rubio would make a strong Republican ticket. Trump himself is barred from seeking another term under the 22nd Amendment to the US Constitution.

JD Vance Seen as GOP Front-Runner for 2028

Ocasio-Cortez has also been mentioned as a possible contender for the Democratic nomination. While she polls well with younger voters, broader surveys show her trailing California Governor Gavin Newsom and former Vice President Kamala Harris in most 2028 matchups, as per the SILive.com report.

Betting Markets Add to 2028 Election Buzz

Gamblers placing legal bets on the race have long viewed Vance and Newsom as the leading contenders for their respective party nominations, as per the report.

FAQs

What does the latest 2028 poll show?
It shows Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez narrowly leading JD Vance in a hypothetical matchup.

Who conducted this 2028 election poll?

The survey was carried out by The Argument/Verasight.

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